GOP vs. GOP |

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CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=374 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5.

.

"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters.

.

10/12-14/07
9/7-9/07
8/6-8/07

%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
27
28
29

Fred Thompson
19
27
22

John McCain
17
15
16

Mitt Romney
13
11
12

Mike Huckabee
5
5
3

Duncan Hunter
3
1
-

Ron Paul
2
1
2

Sam Brownback
1
2
3

Tom Tancredo
1
2
2

Unsure
11
8
10

Tommy Thompson
n/a
n/a
1

.

6/22-24/07
5/4-6/07
4/10-12/07
3/9-11/07
1/19-21/07

%
%
%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
31
25
30
38
35

Fred Thompson
21
15
12
n/a
n/a

John McCain
19
24
24
19
27

Mitt Romney
11
11
10
10
8

Mike Huckabee
2
3
1
2
1

Ron Paul
2
1
1
2
1

Sam Brownback
1
2
1
2
3

Tom Tancredo
1
2
2
1
2

Tommy Thompson
1
2
1
1
1

Jim Gilmore
-
3
1
2
3

Duncan Hunter
-
2
-
-
1

Unsure
11
9
13
18
17

George Pataki
n/a
n/a
2
3
3

Chuck Hagel
n/a
n/a
1
2
1

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=411 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters.

10/12-14/07
10/4-7/07

%
%

Rudy Giuliani
32
32

Fred Thompson
18
20

John McCain
14
16

Mitt Romney
10
9

Mike Huckabee
6
7

Ron Paul
5
2

Sam Brownback
2
1

Tom Tancredo
2
1

Duncan Hunter
1
1

Someone else
2
1

None (vol.)/Unsure
9
11

9/14-16/07
9/7-8/07
8/13-16/07
8/3-5/07
7/12-15/07

%
%
%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
30
34
32
33
33

Fred Thompson
22
22
19
21
21

John McCain
18
15
11
16
16

Mitt Romney
7
10
14
8
8

Mike Huckabee
4
5
4
2
2

Ron Paul
4
1
3
2
3

Sam Brownback
2
2
1
1
2

Duncan Hunter
2
-
2
1
1

Tom Tancredo
1
1
1
1
-

Someone else
1
1
1
2
1

None (vol.)/Unsure
10
8
11
10
11

Chuck Hagel
n/a
1
1
1
-

Tommy Thompson
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
1

Jim Gilmore
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
-

.

7/6-8/07
6/11-14/07
6/1-3/07
5/10-13/07
5/4-6/07

%
%
%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
32
29
35
32
36

Fred Thompson
21
21
12
12
14

John McCain
16
20
20
24
21

Mitt Romney
9
8
14
10
9

Duncan Hunter
3
2
1
-
1

Mike Huckabee
2
3
3
1
1

Tom Tancredo
2
1
2
1
1

Tommy Thompson
2
2
1
1
2

Sam Brownback
1
2
1
2
1

Chuck Hagel
1
1
-
-
1

Jim Gilmore
-
1
-
1
1

Ron Paul
-
2
1
-
-

Someone else
-
-
1
2
1

None (vol.)/Unsure
10
8
10
13
11

.

4/13-15/07
4/2-5/07
3/23-25/07
3/2-4/07
2/9-11/07

%
%
%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
38
42
34
49
42

John McCain
24
18
22
21
25

Fred Thompson
11
12
13
n/a
n/a

Mitt Romney
10
7
4
10
6

Jim Gilmore
2
-
1
-
2

George Pataki
2
2
-
1
1

Mike Huckabee
2
1
2
1
2

Ron Paul
2
2
1
n/a
n/a

Tommy Thompson
1
3
2
2
2

Sam Brownback
1
1
3
1
4

Duncan Hunter
1
1
1
1
2

Tom Tancredo
-
2
1
1
2

Chuck Hagel
-
1
-
-
1

Someone else
1
1
2
2
2

None (vol.)
2
2
4
3
2

All/Any (vol.)
-
-
1
-
-

Unsure
4
5
9
8
8

Reuters/Zogby Poll. Oct. 10-14, 2007. N=374 likely Republican primary voters nationwide.

.

Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:

.

10/10-14/07
9/13-16/07
7/12-14/07
3/22-26/07

%
%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
28
27
21
27

Fred Thompson
20
24
22
9

Mitt Romney
14
7
11
9

John McCain
8
13
9
13

Mike Huckabee
4
3
5
1

Ron Paul
3
2
1
3

Tom Tancredo
2
1
-
1

Sam Brownback
1
2
2
2

Duncan Hunter
-
1
1
1

Someone else
2
2
2
4

Unsure
18
20
25
28

Tommy Thompson
n/a
n/a
-
1

Jim Gilmore
n/a
n/a
-
n/a

Chuck Hagel
n/a
n/a
n/a
1

American Research Group poll. Oct. 9-12, 2007. N=600 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:

.

10/9-12/07
9/9-12/07
8/9-12/07

%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
24
24
27

Fred Thompson
16
23
16

Mitt Romney
15
9
16

John McCain
14
14
13

Mike Huckabee
6
4
3

Duncan Hunter
2
1
1

Ron Paul
2
1
1

Tom Tancredo
2
2
1

Sam Brownback
1
1
1

Alan Keyes
1
n/a
n/a

Unsure
17
15
14

Newt Gingrich
n/a
6
7

Tommy Thompson
n/a
n/a
1

.

7/9-12/07
6/9-12/07
5/9-12/07
4/9-12/07
3/2-5/07

%
%
%
%
%

Rudy Giuliani
30
24
28
27
34

Fred Thompson
17
15
6
9
n/a

John McCain
14
20
24
23
30

Newt Gingrich
10
12
13
10
12

Mitt Romney
10
10
8
12
7

Sam Brownback
1
1
1
1
1

Jim Gilmore
1
1
1
-
1

Chuck Hagel
1
1
1
1
1

Mike Huckabee
1
1
1
1
1

Duncan Hunter
1
1
1
-
-

Ron Paul
1
1
1
-
1

Tom Tancredo
1
1
1
1
1

Tommy Thompson
1
1
1
1
1

George Pataki
-
-
-
-
1

Unsure
11
11
13
14
9

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 7-8, 2007. N=425 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to [see below]. Which one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president: [see below]?" Names rotated . RudyGiuliani FredThompson Unsure % % % 9/7-8/07 53 40 8 8/13-16/07 59 34 7 8/3-5/07 55 38 7 7/12-15/07 54 34 11 6/11-14/07 53 41 7 . RudyGiuliani MittRomney Unsure % % % 9/7-8/07 68 23 9 ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 4-7, 2007. N=401 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. MoE ± 5. Fieldwork by TNS. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Includes leaners. . 9/4-7/07 7/18-21/07 % % Rudy Giuliani 26 34 John McCain 18 16 Fred Thompson 18 14 Mitt Romney 9 8 Newt Gingrich 5 7 Mike Huckabee 5 2 Sam Brownback 2 1 Duncan Hunter 1 2 Ron Paul 1 2 Tom Tancredo - 1 Other (vol.) 1 - None of these (vol.) 2 5 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2 1 Unsure 9 5 Tommy Thompson n/a 3 Without Gingrich (recalculated, based on second choice of Gingrich voters): . 9/4-7/07 7/18-21/07 5/29 - 6/1/07 4/12-15/07 2/22-25/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 28 37 34 35 53 Fred Thompson 19 15 13 10 n/a John McCain 18 16 20 22 23 Mitt Romney 10 8 10 10 5 Mike Huckabee 5 2 2 1 2 Sam Brownback 2 1 1 1 2 Duncan Hunter 1 2 1 1 - Ron Paul 1 2 2 1 1 Tom Tancredo - 2 1 1 1 Other (vol.) 1 - - 0 - None of these (vol.) 2 5 3 4 2 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2 1 - - 1 Unsure 10 5 10 7 5 Tommy Thompson n/a 3 1 2 2 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a 1 2 - George Pataki n/a n/a n/a 1 1 Chuck Hagel n/a n/a n/a - 1 . "Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president this year -- are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?" . Satisfied Dissatisfied Unsure % % % 9/4-7/07 68 26 5 7/18-21/07 65 32 3 5/29 - 6/1/07 68 28 4 4/12-15/07 65 31 3 2/22-25/07 73 24 3
See also: GOP vs. DEM

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CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=374 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5.
					.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters.
					.
		10/12-14/07	9/7-9/07	8/6-8/07
		%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	27	28	29
	Fred Thompson	19	27	22
	John McCain	17	15	16
	Mitt Romney	13	11	12
	Mike Huckabee	5	5	3
	Duncan Hunter	3	1	-
	Ron Paul	2	1	2
	Sam Brownback	1	2	3
	Tom Tancredo	1	2	2
	Unsure	11	8	10
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	n/a	1
					.
		6/22-24/07	5/4-6/07	4/10-12/07	3/9-11/07	1/19-21/07
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	31	25	30	38	35
	Fred Thompson	21	15	12	n/a	n/a
	John McCain	19	24	24	19	27
	Mitt Romney	11	11	10	10	8
	Mike Huckabee	2	3	1	2	1
	Ron Paul	2	1	1	2	1
	Sam Brownback	1	2	1	2	3
	Tom Tancredo	1	2	2	1	2
	Tommy Thompson	1	2	1	1	1
	Jim Gilmore	-	3	1	2	3
	Duncan Hunter	-	2	-	-	1
	Unsure	11	9	13	18	17
	George Pataki	n/a	n/a	2	3	3
	Chuck Hagel	n/a	n/a	1	2	1

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=411 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.
					.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters.

		10/12-14/07	10/4-7/07
		%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	32	32
	Fred Thompson	18	20
	John McCain	14	16
	Mitt Romney	10	9
	Mike Huckabee	6	7
	Ron Paul	5	2
	Sam Brownback	2	1
	Tom Tancredo	2	1
	Duncan Hunter	1	1
	Someone else	2	1
	None (vol.)/Unsure	9	11

		9/14-16/07	9/7-8/07	8/13-16/07	8/3-5/07	7/12-15/07
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	30	34	32	33	33
	Fred Thompson	22	22	19	21	21
	John McCain	18	15	11	16	16
	Mitt Romney	7	10	14	8	8
	Mike Huckabee	4	5	4	2	2
	Ron Paul	4	1	3	2	3
	Sam Brownback	2	2	1	1	2
	Duncan Hunter	2	-	2	1	1
	Tom Tancredo	1	1	1	1	-
	Someone else	1	1	1	2	1
	None (vol.)/Unsure	10	8	11	10	11
	Chuck Hagel	n/a	1	1	1	-
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	n/a	n/a	2	1
	Jim Gilmore	n/a	n/a	n/a	n/a	-
					.
		7/6-8/07	6/11-14/07	6/1-3/07	5/10-13/07	5/4-6/07
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	32	29	35	32	36
	Fred Thompson	21	21	12	12	14
	John McCain	16	20	20	24	21
	Mitt Romney	9	8	14	10	9
	Duncan Hunter	3	2	1	-	1
	Mike Huckabee	2	3	3	1	1
	Tom Tancredo	2	1	2	1	1
	Tommy Thompson	2	2	1	1	2
	Sam Brownback	1	2	1	2	1
	Chuck Hagel	1	1	-	-	1
	Jim Gilmore	-	1	-	1	1
	Ron Paul	-	2	1	-	-
	Someone else	-	-	1	2	1
	None (vol.)/Unsure	10	8	10	13	11
					.
		4/13-15/07	4/2-5/07	3/23-25/07	3/2-4/07	2/9-11/07
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	38	42	34	49	42
	John McCain	24	18	22	21	25
	Fred Thompson	11	12	13	n/a	n/a
	Mitt Romney	10	7	4	10	6
	Jim Gilmore	2	-	1	-	2
	George Pataki	2	2	-	1	1
	Mike Huckabee	2	1	2	1	2
	Ron Paul	2	2	1	n/a	n/a
	Tommy Thompson	1	3	2	2	2
	Sam Brownback	1	1	3	1	4
	Duncan Hunter	1	1	1	1	2
	Tom Tancredo	-	2	1	1	2
	Chuck Hagel	-	1	-	-	1
	Someone else	1	1	2	2	2
	None (vol.)	2	2	4	3	2
	All/Any (vol.)	-	-	1	-	-
	Unsure	4	5	9	8	8

Reuters/Zogby Poll. Oct. 10-14, 2007. N=374 likely Republican primary voters nationwide.
					.
Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:
					.
		10/10-14/07	9/13-16/07	7/12-14/07	3/22-26/07
		%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	28	27	21	27
	Fred Thompson	20	24	22	9
	Mitt Romney	14	7	11	9
	John McCain	8	13	9	13
	Mike Huckabee	4	3	5	1
	Ron Paul	3	2	1	3
	Tom Tancredo	2	1	-	1
	Sam Brownback	1	2	2	2
	Duncan Hunter	-	1	1	1
	Someone else	2	2	2	4
	Unsure	18	20	25	28
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	n/a	-	1
	Jim Gilmore	n/a	n/a	-	n/a
	Chuck Hagel	n/a	n/a	n/a	1

American Research Group poll. Oct. 9-12, 2007. N=600 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.
					.
Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:
					.
		10/9-12/07	9/9-12/07	8/9-12/07
		%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	24	24	27
	Fred Thompson	16	23	16
	Mitt Romney	15	9	16
	John McCain	14	14	13
	Mike Huckabee	6	4	3
	Duncan Hunter	2	1	1
	Ron Paul	2	1	1
	Tom Tancredo	2	2	1
	Sam Brownback	1	1	1
	Alan Keyes	1	n/a	n/a
	Unsure	17	15	14
	Newt Gingrich	n/a	6	7
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	n/a	1
					.
		7/9-12/07	6/9-12/07	5/9-12/07	4/9-12/07	3/2-5/07
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	30	24	28	27	34
	Fred Thompson	17	15	6	9	n/a
	John McCain	14	20	24	23	30
	Newt Gingrich	10	12	13	10	12
	Mitt Romney	10	10	8	12	7
	Sam Brownback	1	1	1	1	1
	Jim Gilmore	1	1	1	-	1
	Chuck Hagel	1	1	1	1	1
	Mike Huckabee	1	1	1	1	1
	Duncan Hunter	1	1	1	-	-
	Ron Paul	1	1	1	-	1
	Tom Tancredo	1	1	1	1	1
	Tommy Thompson	1	1	1	1	1
	George Pataki	-	-	-	-	1
	Unsure	11	11	13	14	9